Psychopathic Straussian Neocons will not simply walk away...

Editor's note: Another good global assessment by Pepe Escobar on global circumstances. And how exactly will the US "set fire to southern Eurasia?" It's called an "atrocity mill" and the US will do it with an almost $1 trillion "defense" (war) budget the Pentagon will be given by a complicit and obedient corporate congress and senate. That "atrocity mill" is now in operation in Sudan. This is why US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken was in Vietnam. Blinken was there to attempt turning Vietnam against China. Blinken is another Neocon velvet-tongued war hawk viper hiding in the grass as he directed blaming Hunter Biden's laptop (the rogue gallery of lying intel agents) as a Russian hoax. Blinken is also behind publicly stating through his official US State Department position "the Russian military are committing war crimes in Ukraine." That is an official state supported lie and war hawk propaganda just as the US State Department was behind the ICC felonious arrest warrant for Russia's Putin. The story about Russian "military war crimes" is entirely false if anyone has the guts to go there to attempt to prove such erroneous and false claims. The entire US state apparatus is an abomination along with its other created abominations Germany, Ukraine and Israel. 
________

Source: Strategic Culture

The Empire's Revenge: Set Fire to Southern Eurasia

By Pepe Escobar | April 22, 2023

Hegemon hacks are spinning that the North Atlantic has relocated to South China. Goodnight, and good luck.

The collective cognitive dissonance displayed by the pack of hyenas with polished faces driving U.S. foreign policy should never be underestimated.

And yet those Straussian neo-con psychos have been able to pull off a tactical success. Europe is a ship of fools heading for Scylla and Charybdis – with quislings such as France's Le Petit Roi and Germany's Liver Sausage Chancellor cooperating in the debacle, complete with the galleries drowning in a maelstrom of hysterical moralism.

It's those driving the Hegemon that are destroying Europe. Not Russia.

But then there's The Big Picture of The New Great Game 2.0.

Two Russian analysts, by different means, have come up with an astonishing, quite complementary, and quite realistic road map.

General Andrei Gurulyov, retired, is now a member of the Duma. He considers that the NATO vs. Russia war on Ukrainian soil will end only by 2030 – when Ukraine would basically have ceased to exist.

His deadline is 2027-2030 – something that no one so far has dared to predict. And "ceasing to exist", per Gurulyov, means actually disappearing from any map. Implied is the logical conclusion of the Special Military Operation – reiterated over and over again by the Kremlin and the Security Council: the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine; neutral status; no NATO membership; and "indivisibility of security", equally, for Europe and the post-Soviet space.

So until we have these facts on the ground, Gurulyov is essentially saying that the Kremlin and the Russian General Staff will make no concessions. No Beltway-imposed "frozen conflict" or fake ceasefire, which everyone knows will not be respected, just like the Minsk agreements were never respected.

And yet Moscow, we got a problem. As much as the Kremlin may always insist this is not a war against the Slavic Ukrainian brothers and cousins – which translates into no American-style Shock'n Awe pulverizing everything in sight – Gurulyov's verdict implies the destruction of the current, cancerous, corrupt Ukrainian state is a must.

A comprehensive sitrep of the crucial crossroads, as it stands, correctly argues that if Russia was in Afghanistan for 10 years, and in Chechnya, all periods combined, for another 10 years, the current SMO – otherwise described by some very powerful people in Moscow as an "almost war" – and on top of it against the full force of NATO, could well last another 7 years.

The sitrep also correctly argues that for Russia the kinetic aspect of the "almost war" is not even the most relevant.

In what for all practical purposes is a war to the death against Western neoliberalism, what really matters is a Russian Great Awakening – already in effect: "Russia's goal is to emerge in 2027-2030 not as a mere 'victor' standing over the ruins of some already-forgotten country, but as a state that has re-connected with its historic arc, has found itself, re-established its principles, its courage in defending its vision of the world."

Yes, this is a civilizational war, as Alexander Dugin has masterfully argued. And this is about a civilizational rebirth. And yet, for the Straussian neo-con psychos, that's just another racket towards plunging Russia into chaos, installing a puppet and stealing its natural resources.

Fire in the hole

The analysis by Andrei Bezrukov neatly complements Gurulyov's (here, in Russian). Bezrukov is a former colonel in the SVR (Russian foreign intel) and now a Professor of the Chair of Applied Analysis of International Problems at MGIMO and the chairman of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy think tank.

Bezrukov knows that the Empire will not take the incoming, massive NATO humiliation in Ukraine lying down. And even before the possible 2027-2030 timeline proposed by Gurulyov, he argues, it is bound to set fire to southern Eurasia – from Turkey to China.

President Xi Jinping, in his memorable visit to the Kremlin last month, told President Putin the world is now undergoing changes "not seen in 100 years".

Bezrukov, appropriately, reminds us of the state of things then: "In the years from 1914 to 1945, the world was in the same intermediate state that it is in now. Those thirty years changed the world completely: from empires and horses to the emergence of two nuclear powers, the UN, and transatlantic flight. We are entering a similar period, which this time will last about twenty years."

Europe, predictably, will "whither away", as "it is no longer the absolute center of the universe." Amidst this redistribution of power, Bezrukov goes back to one of the key points of a seminal analysis developed in the recent past by Andre Gunder Frank: "200-250 years ago, 70 percent of manufacturing was in China and India. We are going back to about there, which will also correspond to population size."

Please go to Strategic Culture to continue reading.

________

Ron Unz at The Unz Review who seems to be behind the idea of a Neocon war on China presents his evidence. We shouldn't simply accept a Neocon and Judaic view of the world through their lenses.

Did the Neocons Save the World from the Thucydides Trap?

Ron Unz offers another  updated look at these Neocons:

Dislodging the Neocons, Difficult But Necessary