In 2009 UK government experts wildly over-hyped dangers of swine flu — is history repeating with Covid-19?
"This is a national challenge and I would like to announce to the British people I have tested positive."
Does anyone think they can't make it any easier for us to see what is going on?
________Big government is needed to fight the covid-19 pandemic. It may not shrink again afterwards. Our cover in Britain and America this week https://t.co/WIA7ZKea34 pic.twitter.com/gEqRXppJEW— The Economist (@TheEconomist) March 28, 2020
Source: The Telegraph
Neil Ferguson, the Scientist Who Convinced Boris Johnson of UK Covid Lockdown, Isn't Very Bright
He has made sensationalist — and incredibly costly — predictions which fell wide off the mark before, yet the government keeps turning to him
The Great Hysteria Pandemic
By Katherine Rushton | March 29, 2020
He was scaremongering that 150,000 people could die from the Mad Cow disease on the basis of which the UK ordered the destruction of a gigantic number of perfectly healthy animals costing farmer's livelihoods and £10bn of totally needless economic damage
The scientist whose calculations about the potentially devastating impact of the coronavirus directly led to the countrywide lockdown has been criticised in the past for flawed research.
Professor Neil Ferguson, of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College in London, produced a paper predicting that Britain was on course to lose 250,000 people during the coronavirus epidemic unless stringent measures were taken. His research is said to have convinced Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his advisors to introduce the lockdown.
However, it has now emerged that Ferguson has been criticised in the past for making predictions based on allegedly faulty assumptions which nevertheless shaped government strategies and impacted the UK economy.
He was behind disputed research that sparked the mass culling of farm animals during the 2001 epidemic of foot and mouth disease, a crisis which cost the country billions of pounds.
And separately he also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die from bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE, or 'mad cow disease') and its equivalent in sheep if it made the leap to humans. To date there have been fewer than 200 deaths from the human form of BSE and none resulting from sheep to human transmission.
Mr Ferguson's foot and mouth disease (FMD) research has been the focus of two highly critical academic papers which identified allegedly problematic assumptions in his mathematical modelling.
The scientist has robustly defended his work, saying that he had worked with limited data and limited time so the models weren't 100 per cent right – but that the conclusions it reached were valid.
Michael Thrusfield, professor of veterinary epidemiology at Edinburgh University, who co-authored both of the critical reports, said that they had been intended as a "cautionary tale" about how mathematical models are sometimes used to predict the spread of disease.
He described his sense of "déjà vu" when he read Mr Ferguson's Imperial College paper on coronavirus, which was published earlier this month.
That paper – Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand – warned that if no action were taken to control the coronavirus, around 510,000 people in Britain would lose their lives.
Please go to The Telegraph to read the entire article.
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Related:
How to Defeat the Coronavirus: Quarantine Wall Street
Coronavirus is the pretext for the crumbling present monetary system along with technology advances.
End Of An Era: The Cult Of Monetarism Is Crumbling
COVID-19 Outbreak Is The Trojan Horse To Increase Smartphone Surveillance
Some light reading:
Coronavirus is a Fraud
And in the US? Anthony Fauci doing info commercials for the pharmaceutical cartels behind the White House podium.
Dr. Anthony Fauci Predicts How Many Will Die From Coronavirus In United States
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